The Sydney Morning Herald recently republished an article from the London Telegraph about the severity of the winter weather the Brits have been experiencing over the past few weeks and the consequent inability of the British Met Office to get things correct (it's those damn weathermen again!). The article mentions, however, one man who has predicted these events, and delves into the remarkably simplistic method he uses to calculate climatic patterns on the Earth's surface, and his consequent predictions for the future of Earth's climate.
Meet Piers Corbyn, self-professed nerd (with an astrophysics degree, no less), and accurate predicter of 85% of the past longer-term climatic events. Mr. Corbyn uses an approach that most meterologists today spurn: he looks at the Sun and what its doing and compares that to events in the past where the Sun was in a similar state. He then looks at what was happening on the Earth at that time. His approach has led him to conclusions which are often counter to what prevailing arguments for the upcoming winters and summers will bring, but his approach has yielded more accurate results than "traditional" methods. His predictions for the future include a continuation of these harsh winters, leading to another "little ice age", and eventually a full-scale Ice Age (which has been overdue for some centuries now).
Your thoughts? Do we need to get out the parkas? Or should we stay with polka-dot bikinis?
I don't know about you, but I'm breaking out my parka!
ReplyDeleteThe sun provides energy to the earth. Of course this approach makes sense...I don't like that talk of ice ages. I'm already wearing too many sweaters.
ReplyDelete